When they first met in Mauricio "Shogun" Rua's UFC debut back in 2007, Forrest Griffin was seen as something of a sacrificial lamb to the man who'd dominated Pride's best of class 205lb division for two years. Shogun had been the champion-in-waiting since winning the Pride Middleweight (205lbs) Grand Prix in 2005.
Griffin, at the time a less than stellar 5-2 against UFC competition, was expected to be little more than a showcase opponent to introduce the mighty Shogun to UFC fans. Instead, Griffin seized on the opportunities presented by Shogun's injured knee and less than ideal conditioning to wear him down and choke him out in the third round.
It was the beginning of an improbable championship run for the popular Griffin as he seized the opportunity to take Quinton "Rampage" Jackson's title in his next fight. Shogun would have to wait until 2009 to get his title shot and it took two tries for him to dethrone Lyoto Machida.
Shogun's reign was a brief one as Jon Jones caught him coming back from his 3rd knee surgery in 4 years and took the title.
Now as we break down this fight it's much the same as it looked in 2007. On paper Rua has numerous advantages. An aggressive, go-for-broke standup game, good take downs and strong submission. But Griffin may have the same intangibles working for him he had back in the day. The biggest question mark is whether or not Griffin really wants the win.
In his pre-fight interviews Griffin has been talking about the financial needs of his family, but he's also been pretty open about not having title ambitions at this point.
Not knowing the status of Rua's conditioning coming into this bout, I can only guess that he'll be entering the Octagon in fighting trim. We'll find out Saturday.
Aspect
Griffin
Points
Rua
Advantage
Range Fighting
Boxing
Sound
1
Aggressive But Sloppy
Griffin
Kickboxing
Surprising
1
Effective
Rua
Wrestling
Decent
1
Not Bad
Rua
Clinch Fighting
Dirty Boxing
Decent
1
Mean
Rua
Thai Clinch
Effective
1
Vicious
Rua
Throws/Trips
Good
1
Very Good
Rua
Ground Fighting
Positional Control
Effective
1
Strong
Rua
Scrambling
Elusive
1
Dogged
Griffin
Escapes
Elusive
1
Houdini
Rua
Submissions
Surprising
1
Very Good
Rua
Intangibles
Apathetic?
1
Injured?
???
Overall
Hanging On
8/2
Starting One More Run?
Rua
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