SB Nation Jonathan Snowden's View
HDNet wonders which MMA star is the best bet for a long term deal. Jonathan Snowden looked back to a decade ago and determined MMA futures are an extremely risky bet.
Dec 8, 2011 - Earlier today Albert Pujols, the greatest hitter in baseball, signed a 10 year contract to play ball for the Anaheim Angels. The remuneration? An unspeakable two hundred and fifty million dollars. I spelled it out so there could be no confusion about whether I inserted too many commas or put the decimal in the wrong spot.
When the contract ends, Pujols will be in his forties. His glory days will likely be long gone. Will it have been worth it for the Angels? Anything short of a World Series title says "absolutely not."
Later in the morning, HDNet Fights posed an interesting question. Who would you sign to a ten year Pujols style deal in the world of mixed martial arts? Is there anyone that would be worth that kind of significant investment?
Let's look back a decade to see how that investment would have paid off had the UFC signed any of its world champions to enormous deals in 2001.
Heavyweight Champion
Name: Randy Couture
Current Status: Retired
Last Title Held: Heavyweight title (2008)
Years As A Significant Force: 2002-2006, 2007, 2009
Comments: Couture had a stellar run, dropping down to light heavyweight and winning the title there as well. A retirement that didn't take and a contract holdout together cost him almost two years of his career. Couture would have been an unlikely choice for a long term deal. He was already 38 and had been through a war with Rizzo. Still, all told, the UFC got seven main event years from one of its all time legends. A solid investment.
Light Heavyweight Champion
Name: Tito Ortiz
Current Status: Approaching Retirement
Last Title Held: 2003
Years As A Significant Force: 2002-2004, 2006
Comments: Ortiz is one of the most important fighters in UFC history and was at the top of his game in 2001. But he was quickly surpassed by both Couture and Liddell and was only the top light heavyweight in the world for two more years. He's battled injuries and contract issues for much of the decade as well. The top bet in 2001 for a decade of success, Ortiz would have been a bad investment.
Middleweight Champion
Name: Dave Menne
Current Status: Fighting on the independent scene
Last Title Held: 2002
Years As A Significant Force: None
Comments: Menne lost his title almost immediately to Murilo Bustmante and gradually faded as a top star. His last UFC appearance was in 2006. He's lost every significant fight of his career since the Bustamante bout. This would have been an epically bad investment.
Welterweight Champion
Name: Matt Hughes
Current Status: Last Legs of a Hall of Fame Career
Last Title Held: 2006
Years As A Significant Force: 2002-2009
Comments: Hughes was a brand new champion in December, 2001, but he turned in to one of the all time greats. He defended his belt against all comers for years, then regained the title when B.J. Penn left the company. Unfortunately, as good as he was in the cage, Hughes struggled at the box office. He only became a star after appearances on The Ultimate Fighter and a superfight with the legendary Royce Gracie. By 2006, Hughes was the total package. Unfortunately, Georges St. Pierre has already surpassed him as the division's best fighter.
Lightweight Champion
Name: Jens Pulver
Current Status: Fighting on the Independent Scene
Last Title Held: 2002
Years As A Significant Force: 2004, 2008
Comments: Pulver's decision to vacate the UFC title and try his luck in Japan changed his life - and not for the better. Pulver was never again a real factor in the fight game and has struggled to make a living. He made a triumphant return to the Octagon in 2007, but was knocked silly by Joe Lauzon. He moved on to help launch the WEC into the mainstream but was no longer competitive against the best.
Analysis:
MMA is a sport that sees change happen rapidly. It's a dangerous game for older fighters - and a ten year, high stakes contract in the sport would be the equivalent of playing roulette. In the end, two of the UFC's champions would have been decent long term signings. Conversely, two would have been absolute disasters. But the biggest star of the decade, and an integral part of the UFC's growth would have been an after thought in 2001- "The Iceman" Chuck Liddell. MMA is unpredictable like that. The next big star is probably sitting just outside our field of vision. I wouldn't want to place a bet on who that might be. Would you?
Comments
LOL @ throwing Dave Menne under the bus. Hasn’t he suffered enough?
by smoogy2 on Dec 8, 2011 3:21 PM PST reply actions
I think most of the champions seem pretty solid right now
They would have faded by the time the 10 years would be up(like Pujols will be in 2021), but Jones, Cruz, Aldo, and JDS seem like good bets to be on top for years.
by HaterSlayer on Dec 8, 2011 3:57 PM PST reply actions
Pulver is fighting next weekend I think
although it’s a small enough show that you might as well say he’s retired I suppose.
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by Brian Hemminger on Dec 8, 2011 4:42 PM PST reply actions
And this the same week that a headline on Sherdog reads “Pulver: ’I’m not done yet.’”
SquishingMachine
by Rainer Lee on Dec 8, 2011 9:47 PM PST up reply actions
Sorry. Wishful thinking.
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by Jonathan Snowden on Dec 9, 2011 6:02 AM PST up reply actions
U would have to get lucky with a very young Anderson Silva or Jon Jones.
It would not work out without luck and a freakish athlete,maybe someone like Rory Mcdonald.
by kentmurr410 on Dec 8, 2011 4:53 PM PST reply actions
as far as future stars,
mc donald, barao, cerrone, only if he doesnt fight twenty times a year
chael sonnen is better than your guy
by vikingfights on Dec 8, 2011 5:14 PM PST reply actions
MMA is a sport that is so unkind to the body and mind it’s a total crapshoot even for the best and brightest. The NFL and NHL are equally brutal but the compensation in payand support from unions are at least a small factor. MMA isn’t a sport for long term contracts. Not ever.
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by Jeremy Couturier on Dec 8, 2011 8:20 PM PST reply actions
good call
It doesn't matter what your name is!! The Rock will take your roody-poo candy ass to the corner of Know your role Boulevard and Jabroni Drive and check you in to the smackdown hotel!! If you smell what The Rock is cookin'!!
by Garbanzo on Dec 8, 2011 8:26 PM PST reply actions
Id invest 10 years on Jones, Aldo, and Cruz
by Spider_Vemon on Dec 9, 2011 5:49 AM PST reply actions
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